Here’s an overview of where things stand and what we might realistically expect:

The debate over AI’s impact on jobs is complex, and the reality of AI taking over most jobs depends heavily on the type of work involved.

1. Routine and Repetitive Tasks:

For roles that involve predictable, repetitive tasks, like data entry, some customer service roles, and certain aspects of manufacturing, AI and automation have already made substantial headway. These jobs are generally more vulnerable to automation because algorithms can handle structured tasks more efficiently and without fatigue.

2. Knowledge-Based and Analytical Roles:

In fields like finance, legal research, and healthcare diagnostics, AI is increasingly used to assist rather than replace workers. For example, AI might analyse complex data sets, support decision-making, and provide insights faster than humans can. However, these jobs often require judgment, creativity, and contextual understanding, which AI is currently less capable of fully replicating.

3. Creative and Interpersonal Jobs:

Jobs requiring empathy, creativity, or intricate human interaction (e.g., therapists, teachers, creative artists) are harder for AI to fully replace. While AI tools can assist in these areas—like providing therapy suggestions or generating design ideas—they don’t yet match the nuance of human interaction or creativity, making complete replacement less likely.

4. Hybrid Roles and AI Augmentation:

Many future roles might involve human-AI collaboration rather than outright replacement. For example, AI might handle complex data analysis, allowing professionals to focus on strategic or creative aspects of their roles. In this sense, AI will change the nature of many jobs but won’t necessarily eliminate them.

5. The Need for Adaptable Skills:

Because AI technology evolves rapidly, it’s likely that adaptability and continuous learning will be essential skills. Many jobs that exist today might transform, requiring people to develop new skills to work alongside AI effectively.

In summary, while AI will certainly take over specific tasks and possibly entire roles, the likelihood of it replacing “most” jobs outright is low in the near term. More likely, we’ll see the nature of work evolve, with AI as a powerful tool that enhances what people do. Keeping an open mindset and learning new skills will be key for workers across industries.

What jobs are unlikely to be done by AI in the short term?

Certain jobs are inherently human and unlikely to be fully automated by AI, at least for the foreseeable future. Here are some areas where human skills, judgment, and interaction remain essential:

Creative Professions:

  • Artists, Writers, and Musicians: While AI can generate images, text, or music, genuine creativity often requires cultural context, personal expression, and emotional insight, which AI struggles to replicate.
  • Marketing and Advertising: Crafting campaigns that resonate on a deeply human level requires an understanding of nuance, cultural trends, and human psychology—areas where humans still excel.

Human-Centred Care and Therapy:

  • Healthcare and Nursing: Jobs involving patient care, empathy, and physical support, like nursing, caregiving, and most roles in mental health, rely on empathy, understanding, and adaptability in ways that AI lacks.
  • Therapists and Counsellors: Emotional intelligence, trust, and personalized advice make therapy unique; while AI tools can support these roles, they lack the empathy and relational skills required for such sensitive work.

Education and Mentorship:

  • Teachers and Educational Coaches: Education is not just about knowledge delivery but also about fostering social and emotional growth. Teachers build relationships, adapt to individual learning styles, and offer mentorship—qualities hard to replace with technology.
  • Trainers and Coaches: Whether in sports, personal development, or corporate settings, coaching involves motivation, empathy, and individualized feedback.

Skilled Trades and Craftsmanship:

  • Electricians, Plumbers, and Carpenters: Skilled trades require physical precision, problem-solving on-site, and adaptability to unique tasks. These roles often involve hands-on work that demands flexibility and creativity in physical spaces.
  • Artisans and Craft Workers: For roles involving custom, handmade work, like jewellers or furniture makers, the tactile and personalized nature of the craft makes it hard to automate.

Complex Problem-Solving and Strategy:

  • Executive Leadership and Strategic Management: Decision-making at the top levels of organizations requires not just data but judgment, ethics, and foresight, which are difficult for AI to replicate.
  • Lawyers and Judges: While AI can assist with legal research and drafting, legal judgment, ethical considerations, and the ability to argue and interpret cases still require human oversight and experience.

Social and Community Roles:

  • Social Workers and Community Support Officers: These jobs involve empathy, advocacy, and relationship-building in communities, often dealing with complex personal and societal issues.
  • Public Relations: PR relies on human sensitivity to public perception, cultural trends, and reputation management, adapting constantly to societal dynamics.

Scientific Research and Development:

  • Field Researchers and Explorers: Certain types of research, especially those requiring on-the-ground exploration, intuition, and adaptability in unpredictable environments, are challenging to fully automate.
  • Ethicists and Philosophers: Roles that involve understanding human values, morals, and ethical frameworks require reflection, empathy, and philosophical reasoning that AI is unlikely to develop.

What jobs are highly likely to be done by AI?

Essentially, jobs that are highly relational, creative, strategic, or complex in a hands-on environment are less likely to be replaced by AI. They often require unique human skills like empathy, intuition, ethical judgment, and adaptability that AI hasn’t yet mastered.

AI is likely to replace or significantly transform certain types of jobs that are routine, data-driven, or require minimal human interaction. Here are some examples:

Data Processing and Administrative Roles:

  • Data Entry Clerks: AI systems can easily handle repetitive data entry, reducing human error and increasing efficiency. Many companies already use automation for data entry tasks in accounting, HR, and customer databases.
  • Bookkeeping and Payroll: Accounting software with AI capabilities is becoming highly adept at managing transactions, reconciling accounts, and handling payroll, reducing the need for manual bookkeeping.

Customer Service and Support:

  • Customer Support Representatives: Chatbots and virtual assistants can answer common queries, troubleshoot issues, and even assist with purchases, reducing the need for human customer service agents for routine inquiries.
  • Telemarketing: AI algorithms are being used to identify target demographics, conduct preliminary outreach, and even conduct voice-based interactions that simulate human telemarketing calls, making this role highly automatable.
    Retail and Hospitality Services:
  • Cashiers: Self-checkout systems and automated kiosks are becoming more common in retail settings, with AI systems capable of handling payments, scanning items, and managing transactions.
  • Order Takers and Fast-Food Workers: In fast-food and quick-service restaurants, AI can take orders, manage inventory, and even help prepare simple menu items. Automation in these areas is on the rise, especially in high-volume settings.

Transportation and Delivery:

  • Truck Drivers and Delivery Services: Autonomous vehicles are advancing, and while full automation for driving may be years away, AI could manage specific aspects like long-haul trucking or deliveries in controlled environments.
  • Warehouse and Inventory Management: Robotics and AI are already widely used in warehouses to handle stock, package orders, and fulfill inventory tasks, significantly reducing the need for human intervention.

Routine and Predictable Medical Roles:

  • Radiologists and Pathology Analysts: AI algorithms are increasingly capable of analysing medical images, such as X-rays, MRIs, and pathology slides, with high accuracy. While doctors still interpret the results, much of the initial analysis is shifting to AI.
  • Pharmacy Technicians: AI-driven robotic systems are used in pharmacies for tasks like counting pills, labelling, and managing prescriptions. While pharmacists remain essential, AI is reducing the need for routine technical roles.

Manufacturing and Assembly Line Work:

  • Production Line Workers: Industrial robots with AI capabilities are becoming more common on assembly lines, where they can perform repetitive tasks with high precision, especially in automotive and electronics manufacturing.
  • Quality Control Inspectors: AI-powered image recognition is being used to detect product defects, flaws, and inconsistencies, particularly in industries like electronics and textiles, where quality control has traditionally been a human role.

Financial Services and Analysis:

  • Basic Financial Analysts: AI is capable of conducting quantitative analysis, identifying trends, and providing investment recommendations. Many investment firms use AI to handle routine analysis, allowing human analysts to focus on more complex financial strategies.
  • Loan Officers and Underwriters: AI can assess credit risk, evaluate loan applications, and make decisions based on algorithms that analyse credit history, income, and other data, which is becoming more common in consumer lending.

IT and Software Testing:

  • Quality Assurance (QA) Testers: AI-driven testing tools are increasingly automating software testing, identifying bugs, and running repetitive tests, especially for straightforward, predictable software.
  • System Monitoring and Maintenance: Routine monitoring and troubleshooting tasks for servers, databases, and networks are increasingly handled by AI, which can detect anomalies, suggest fixes, and even perform basic repairs without human intervention.

These roles tend to involve routine tasks with clear parameters, making them ideal for AI automation. In many of these jobs, humans are still needed for oversight or complex decision-making, but AI is increasingly handling much of the day-to-day workload.